The report presents new solutions that will help set the directions for developing initial and continuing professional education and training for VET teachers.
Another goal of the publication is to identify those professions taught in VET which require support for the education and recruitment of vocational teachers. The forecast was prepared on the basis of an analysis of existing data and econometric modelling, with key data sourced from the Educational Information System and Statistics Poland. The developed methodology can be used to conduct further in-depth analyses and forecasting.
Demographic trends predict an increase in the number of people of typical secondary school age until 2027, followed by a decline. Between 2024 and 2027, the number of people in this age group will increase by 5.5%, which should translate into greater employment needs for teachers. However, this number will decrease in the following three years, with a projected decline of 4.3%.
According to the forecasts presented in the report, the total employment needs in 2025 are estimated at 7,207 new vocational teachers, representing 19% of the 2024 employment level. The largest quantitative shortages are expected in such professions as food and catering technicians, automotive mechanics, and automotive technicians, while the largest relative shortages (in percentage terms) concern niche professions, such as leatherworkers, industrial insulation technicians, foundry technicians, and glass technology technicians.
The report is available on IBE’s website.